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Excerpt

Markov decision processes formally describe an environment for Reinforcement Learning when the environment is fully observable.

Table of Contents
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Resources

Prediction

These methods estimate the value function of an unknown MDP.

Monte Carlo

  • Learns directly from complete episodes of experience. Caveat: all episodes must terminate
  • Uses the concept 'value = empirical mean return'
  • Goal is to learn
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyv_{\pi}
     from episodes of experience under policy
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body\pi
  • Challenges:
    • Make sure we visit all states over our episodes enough times sufficient for a mean to be approaching a limit

Method

...


Excerpt

Markov decision processes formally describe an environment for Reinforcement Learning when the environment is not observable.

...

Table of Contents
maxLevel3
outlinetrue
typeflat
printablefalse

Resources

Prediction

These methods estimate the value function of an unknown MDP.

Monte Carlo

  • Learns directly from complete episodes of experience. Caveat: all episodes must terminate
  • Uses the concept 'value = empirical mean return'
  • Goal is to learn Increment the total return for the state 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body
    N(s) \leftarrow N(s) + 1
    v_{\pi}
     from episodes of experience under policy By the law of large numbers 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body
    S(s) \leftarrow S(s) + G_t
  • Value is estimated by the mean return 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyV(s) = S(s) / N(s)
  • \pi
  • Challenges:
    • Make sure we visit all states over our episodes enough times sufficient for a mean to be approaching a limit

Method

  • Gather a set of episodes and run over each of them
    • Each time a state is visited:
      • Increment a counter 
        Mathinline
        host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
        body
    V
      • N(s) \
    rightarrow v_{\pi}
      • leftarrow N(s)
     as 
      • + 1
      • Increment the total return for the state 
        Mathinline
        host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
        body
    N
      • S(s) \
    rightarrow \infty

The increments can be done on first visits only, or on every visit and the limiting results will still hold. Why one or the other?

Typically the value function is estimated and updated on the fly with incremental mean calculations:

...

      • leftarrow S(s) + G_t
  • Value is estimated by the mean return 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyV(

...

or  over a moving window (slowly forget old episode contributions):

...

  • s) = S(s) / N(s)
  • By the law of large numbers 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyV(

...

  • s)

...

Temporal Difference Learning

Fundamentally different from Monte Carlo in that incomplete episodes are permissable. For the remainder of the return, a guess is provided to bootstrap the calculations.

...

  • \rightarrow v_{\pi}(s)
     as 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4

...

  • bodyN(s) \rightarrow \infty

The increments can be done on first visits only, or on every visit and the limiting results will still hold. Why one or the other?

Typically the value function is estimated and updated on the fly with incremental mean calculations:


Mathblock
host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
V(S_t)) \\ &\leftarrow V(S_t) + \alpha ( R_{t+1} + \gamma V(S_{t+1})frac{1}{N(S_t)} ( G_t - V(S_t)) \\
\end{align}

...

or  over a moving window (slowly forget old episode contributions):

Mathblock
host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4

...

V(S_t) \leftarrow V(S_t) + \alpha ( G_t - V(S_

...

t

...

  • There are specific cases where the bias causes misbehaviour

...

))

Temporal Difference Learning

Fundamentally different from Monte Carlo in that incomplete episodes are permissable. For the remainder of the return, a guess is provided to bootstrap the calculations.

Mathblock
host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4

...

  • Lends to an increased efficiency.

...

Comparisons

...

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Control

How can we find the optimal value function and subsequently policy? The algorithms are mostly concerned with On/Off Policy Monte Carlo and Temporal-Difference learning.

  • On Policy - 'learning while on the job'
    • Learn about policy
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\pi
      from experience sampled from 
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\pi
  • Off Policy - 'look over someone else's shoulder', e.g. robot looking at a human
    • Learn about policy
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\pi
      from experience sampled from 
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\mu

On-Policy Monte-Carlo Iteration

Basic premise is to apply the same process that dynamic programming uses to greedily improve the policy.

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But this has two problems:

...

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host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
body\mathcal{P}^a_{ss'}

...

\begin{align}
V(S_t) &\leftarrow V(S_t) + \alpha ( G_t - V(S_t)) \\
&\leftarrow V(S_t) + \alpha ( R_{t+1} + \gamma V(S_{t+1}) - V(S_t)) \\
\end{align}
  • TD Target - is the estimated return 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyR_{t+1} + \gamma V(S_{t+1})
    , this is considered a biased estimate as opposed to the Monte Carlo method
    • There are specific cases where the bias causes misbehaviour
  • True TD Target - is the estimated return 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyR_{t+1} + \gamma v_{\pi}(S_{t+1})
    , this is considered an unbiased estimate
  • Exploits the Markov Properties of the system (i.e. uses some knowledge about the system to provide a biased estimate.
    • Lends to an increased efficiency.
  • TD(lambda) - allows you to choose how far ahead to use returns before using a biased estimate (moving between shallow and deep backups).

Comparisons

PropertyDynamic ProgrammingMonte CarloTD
EpisodesNoYes, terminatingYes, may be incomplete
BootstrappingYesNoYes
SamplingNoYesYes
Initial ValueNot sensitiveNot sensitiveSensitive
BiasNo BiasNo BiasBias estimate
Nosie/VarianceNoneLots (many R's in the measured G_t)Low (one R before the bias estimate)
Batching-Converges to a best fit for the observationsConverges to a max likelihood given all the data


More effective in non-Markov environmentsMore efficient in Markov environments


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Control

How can we find the optimal value function and subsequently policy? The algorithms are mostly concerned with On/Off Policy Monte Carlo and Temporal-Difference learning.

  • On Policy - 'learning while on the job'
    • Learn about policy
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\pi
      from experience sampled from 
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\pi
  • Off Policy - 'look over someone else's shoulder', e.g. robot looking at a human
    • Learn about policy
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\pi
      from experience sampled from 
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\mu

On-Policy Monte-Carlo Iteration

Basic premise is to apply the same process that dynamic programming uses to greedily improve the policy.

Image Added

But this has two problems:

  • Value Function: extracting the policy from the value function requires knowledge of the transition dynamics, 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body\mathcal{P}^a_{ss'}
    • Solution: use Q instead of V since it doesn't need to know the transitions
Mathblock
host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
\pi'(s) = argmax_{a \in A} \mathcal{R}^a_{s} + \mathcal{P}^a_{ss'}V(s') \hspace{1cm} \rightarrow \hspace{1cm} \pi'(s) = argmax_{a \in \mathcal{A}} Q(s,a)

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  • Policies: no guarantee that the greedy policy improvements generate policies that can sufficiently explore the space
    • Solution: introduce some randomness to the greedy update (note m is the number of actions to be tried) ... epsilon-greedy!
      • This satisfies the policy improvement theorem, i.e. everything gets better
      • Hard to do better than this naive method
Mathblock
host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
\pi'(a|s) = argmax_{a \in A} \mathcal{R}^a_{s} + \mathcal{P}^a_{ss'}V(s') \hspace{1cm} \rightarrow \hspace{1cm} \pi'(s)\begin{cases}
\epsilon/m + 1 - \epsilon & \mathrm{if} \; a^* = argmax_{a \in \mathcal{A}} Q(s,a)

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  • Policies: no guarantee that the greedy policy improvements generate policies that can sufficiently explore the space
    • Solution: introduce some randomness to the greedy update (note m is the number of actions to be tried) ... epsilon-greedy!
      • This satisfies the policy improvement theorem, i.e. everything gets better
      • Hard to do better than this naive method
Mathblock
host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
\pi(a|s) = \begin{cases}
\epsilon/m + 1 - \epsilon & \mathrm{if} \; a^* = argmax_{a \in A} Q(s,a) \\
\epsilon/m &  \mathrm{otherwise} \\
\end{cases}

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  • Improvements
    • Update the policy after every episode, speedup!

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  • Greedy in the Limit with Infinite Exploration (GLIE)
    • All state-action pairs are explored infinitely many times
    • The policy converges ona greedy policy
  • Guarantee GLIE
    • Evaluation: Something to do with sampling and counting?
    • Improvement: Make sure epsilon goes to zero as the update count goes up

On-Policy TD (Sarsa)

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...

 \\
\epsilon/m &  \mathrm{otherwise} \\
\end{cases}

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  • Improvements
    • Update the policy after every episode, speedup!

Image Added

  • Greedy in the Limit with Infinite Exploration (GLIE)
    • All state-action pairs are explored infinitely many times
    • The policy converges ona greedy policy
  • Guarantee GLIE
    • Evaluation: Something to do with sampling and counting?
    • Improvement: Make sure epsilon goes to zero as the update count goes up

On-Policy TD (Sarsa)

Image AddedImage Added

  • Convergence - guaranteed if policies are GLIE and step sizes satisfy the Robbins-Munro properties for a sequence
    • Robbins-Munro - 
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\sum_i \alpha_i = \infty
      Mathinline
      host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
      body\sum_i \alpha_i^2 < \infty
  • Can consider n-step returns as we did for TD prediction, what is the best n to use? Sarsa(lambda)! Also can utilise eligibility traces


The lambda approach can help you update more quickly over one episode. See below.

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Off-Policy Learning

Goal

  • Evaluate target policy 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body\
    sum_i \alpha_i = \infty, 
    pi(a|s)
     to compute 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body
    \sum_i \alpha_i^2 < \infty
  • Can consider n-step returns as we did for TD prediction, what is the best n to use? Sarsa(lambda)! Also can utilise eligibility traces

The lambda approach can help you update more quickly over one episode. See below.

Image Removed

Off-Policy Learning

Goal

  • Evaluate target
    v_{\pi}(s)
     or 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyq_{\pi}(s,a)
     while following behaviour policy 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body\pimu(a|s)
     to compute 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyv_{\pi}(s)
     or 

Why?

  • Learn from watching humans
  • Re-use experience generated from old policies - cache/batch old episodes
  • Learn about optimal policy while following exploratory policy - make sure we explore the state space sufficiently
  • Learn about multiple policies while following one policy


  • Importance Sampling - has high variance (noise) for Monte-Carlo, but can be made to work for TD.
  •  while following behaviour policy Target Policy
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body
    q_{\pi}(s,a)
    \pi
     - is the policy we are trying to optimise
  • Behaviour Policy
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    body\mu(a|s)

Why?

  • Learn from watching humans
  • Re-use experience generated from old policies - cache/batch old episodes
  • Learn about optimal policy while following exploratory policy - make sure we explore the state space sufficiently
  • Learn about multiple policies while following one policy
  • Importance sampling has high variance (noise) for Monte-Carlo, but can be made to work for TD.
    body\mu
     - is the policy we are trying to improve

Off-Policy Q-Learning

Take the next step from the observed policy, but then consider bootstrapping the rest from the optimal policy

...

  • Is the reward the reward gained from 
    Mathinline
    host5cf3c9eb-f97f-3ae9-acb7-6704dfd8f9e4
    bodyA_{t+1}
    ?
  • Use an epsilon-greedy policy for the behavioural policy (exploration) and greedy policy for target policy (optimal)

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